IMF warns of financial meltdown as crisis rages



Sat Oct 11, 2008 12:26pm EDT
By Lesley Wroughton and Emily Kaiser

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund warned on Saturday that debt-ridden banks were pushing the global financial system to the brink of meltdown and rich nations had so far failed to restore confidence.

The United States appealed for patience as world leaders raced to stabilize financial markets and avert the deepest global recession in decades, but the IMF said more steps would be needed in the coming months.

"Intensifying solvency concerns about a number of the largest U.S.-based and European financial institutions have pushed the global financial system to the brink of systemic meltdown," IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn said.

President George W. Bush huddled with Group of Seven economic chiefs and officials from the IMF and World Bank, and said top industrial nations grasped the gravity of the crisis and would work together to solve it.

"I'm confident that the world's major economies can overcome the challenges we face," Bush said, adding that Washington was working as fast as possible to implement a $700 billion financial bailout package approved a week ago.

"The benefits will not be realized overnight, but as these actions take effect, they will help restore stability to our markets and confidence to our financial institutions."

Confidence has been in short supply and panic has swept through global markets, driving stocks to a five-year low on Friday and prompting banks to hoard cash. That has choked off lending to businesses and households, threatening to turn a global economic slowdown into a dangerously deep recession.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said risks to the global economy were "the most serious and challenging in recent memory."

NEXT STEPS

The world's rich nations vowed on Friday to take all necessary steps to unfreeze credit markets and ensure banks can raise money but they offered no specifics on a collective course of action to avert the recession threat.

In a surprisingly brief statement after a 3-1/2 hour meeting, the G7 stopped short of backing a British plan to guarantee lending between banks, something many on Wall Street saw as vital to end growing market panic.

Kenneth Rogoff, a Harvard University professor and former IMF chief economist, said the G7 would have been better served adopting some version of the British plan so that banks would feel confident enough to loosen their grip on lending.

"Saying that they'll take all steps necessary leaves hanging the question of whether they know what is best and necessary," he told Reuters. "It was a signature moment for the G7. I think markets are going to be very disappointed."

European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said markets needed time to digest a series of dramatic steps taken by world central banks in recent days, including pouring billions of dollars into financial markets and lowering interest rates in the broadest coordinated cut on record.

An emergency meeting of euro zone leaders on Sunday will discuss a bank rescue package taking Britain's initiative as a reference point, a source close to the French presidency said, even though as a non-euro member Britain would not attend.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy said euro zone countries were working on a joint solution, and he planned to meet with British Prime Minister Gordon Brown shortly before Sunday's euro zone gathering.

Britain's rescue plan, launched last week, makes available 50 billion pounds ($86 billion) of taxpayers' money for injection into its banks and, crucially, to underwrite interbank lending which has all but frozen around the globe.

Germany was also considering injecting capital into its banks, Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Saturday.

WORKING AROUND THE CLOCK

The U.S. government was scrambling to put together a plan to buy direct stakes in American banks to shore up balance sheets riddled with heavy credit losses from the 14-month crisis that began with failing U.S. mortgage loans.

U.S. Treasury's Paulson said it was "naive" to think that the G7 would endorse a one-size-fits-all approach to ending the credit crisis because there were major differences between the countries and their financial systems.

But even as Paulson and his fellow finance ministers insisted that they were working as fast as possible, there were signs the economy was credit-starved and deteriorating fast.

The U.S. auto sector has been particularly hard-hit. General Motors has had talks with smaller rival Chrysler LLC about a merger that would combine the No. 1 and No. 3 American automakers at a time when both are struggling to cut costs and shore up cash, according to a source briefed on the matter.

Financial weekly Barron's reported that GM was preparing to approach the U.S. Federal Reserve about borrowing money directly from the central bank because the logjam in credit markets had shut it out of other kinds of borrowing.

Paulson said the U.S. government would buy shares of financial institutions if necessary to halt market turmoil that has wiped out trillions of dollars of wealth.

"We're going to do it as we can do it in a proper way that will be effective. Trust me, we're not wasting time, we're working around the clock," Paulson said late on Friday after the G7 meeting broke up.

(Reporting by G7 team; Writing by Emily Kaiser; Editing by Tim Ahmann)

'Global response'

Bush appears with world financial leaders - vows nations will work together.
By Tami Luhby, CNNMoney.com senior writer
Last Updated: October 11, 2008: 9:59 AM ET
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- President Bush on Saturday once again tried to reassure a nervous public that world leaders were working together to address what is unfolding as the worst global financial crisis since the Great Depression.

"We recognize that the turmoil in the financial markets is affecting all our citizens," Bush said, standing in front of financial ministers from the world's top economies gathering in the nation's capital. "All of us recognize this is a serious global crisis that requires a serious global response for the good of our people."

The president did not announce any new actions to stem the financial panic gripping the world, but reiterated measures world leaders are taking to strengthen financial systems.

Bush mentioned the latest step being contemplated by the United States - injecting much-needed capital into banks.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said Friday that the administration may use the authority granted in the $700 billion rescue plan enacted on Oct. 3 to take ownership stakes in financial institutions to stabilize and restore confidence in them.

Other countries are also taking action to inject liquidity, protect citizens' savings and strengthen financial institutions in their own nations, he said.

Finance leaders from the world's top economies, the Group of Seven, pledged Friday night to take steps to keep leading institutions afloat, unfreeze credit, ensure banks have enough capital to kick start lending and safeguard depositors' funds and restart the secondary markets for mortgages and other securitized assets.

It's vital that countries work together so that their actions don't undermine others, Bush said, pointing to the emergency interest rate cut enacted this week as an example of a coordinated effort.

He plans to expand discussions beyond the G-7 ministers - representing the United States, Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, and Japan - to the leaders of the G-20 emerging market and industrialized nations, who are also meeting Saturday.

"We're in this together, we'll come through this together," the president said.

But he warned that it will take time to see the results. So far, all the measures world leaders have taken have done little to calm jittery markets.

"The benefits will not be realized overnight," the president said.

Week of fear
The president's remarks cap a week in which fear gripped the financial markets worldwide. The Dow Jones industrial average had its worst week ever, falling just over 1,874 points, or 18%. Wall Street lost roughly $2.4 trillion in market value during the week, according to losses in the Dow Jones Wilshire 5000, the broadest measure of the market.

Since the mid-September collapse of Lehman Brothers sparked the latest chaos in the financial markets, Bush has repeatedly tried to reassure the Americans.

"We can solve this crisis - and we will," said Bush, in a speech at the White House Friday, his 27th commentary on the nation's financial health. "Here's what the American people need to know: The U.S. government is acting, and we will continue to act, to resolve this crisis and return stability to our markets," he said.

The government has started taking a number of steps to attack the crisis, Bush said Friday. These include helping homeowners to refinance into more affordable mortgages; cutting the target for the federal funds rate; unveiling a plan to support the market for commercial paper; and offering government insurance for money market mutual funds.

The plan will authorize the Treasury to buy bad mortgage-related investments from finance companies, unfreezing the credit markets by freeing up banks and finance firms to lend once again.

First Published: October 11, 2008: 8:20 AM ET

Find this article at:
http://money.cnn.com/2008/10/11/news/economy/bush_group_of_seven/index.htm?postversion=2008101109

Bush's address to the nation


President explains big bailout as high-stakes debate heats up.
Last Updated: September 24, 2008: 10:12 PM ET
WASHINGTON -- Good evening. This is an extraordinary period for America's economy.

Over the past few weeks, many Americans have felt anxiety about their finances and their future. I understand their worry and their frustration.

We've seen triple-digit swings in the stock market. Major financial institutions have teetered on the edge of collapse, and some have failed. As uncertainty has grown, many banks have restricted lending, credit markets have frozen, and families and businesses have found it harder to borrow money.

We're in the midst of a serious financial crisis, and the federal government is responding with decisive action.

We boosted confidence in money market mutual funds and acted to prevent major investors from intentionally driving down stocks for their own personal gain.

Most importantly, my administration is working with Congress to address the root cause behind much of the instability in our markets.

Financial assets related to home mortgages have lost value during the house decline, and the banks holding these assets have restricted credit. As a result, our entire economy is in danger.

So I propose that the federal government reduce the risk posed by these troubled assets and supply urgently needed money so banks and other financial institutions can avoid collapse and resume lending.

This rescue effort is not aimed at preserving any individual company or industry. It is aimed at preserving America's overall economy.

It will help American consumers and businesses get credit to meet their daily needs and create jobs. And it will help send a signal to markets around the world that America's financial system is back on track.

I know many Americans have questions tonight: How did we reach this point in our economy? How will the solution I propose work? And what does this mean for your financial future?

These are good questions, and they deserve clear answers.

First, how did our economy reach this point? Well, most economists agree that the problems we're witnessing today developed over a long period of time. For more than a decade, a massive amount of money flowed into the United States from investors abroad because our country is an attractive and secure place to do business.

This large influx of money to U.S. banks and financial institutions, along with low interest rates, made it easier for Americans to get credit. These developments allowed more families to borrow money for cars, and homes, and college tuition, some for the first time. They allowed more entrepreneurs to get loans to start new businesses and create jobs.

Unfortunately, there were also some serious negative consequences, particularly in the housing market. Easy credit, combined with the faulty assumption that home values would continue to rise, led to excesses and bad decisions.

Many mortgage lenders approved loans for borrowers without carefully examining their ability to pay. Many borrowers took out loans larger than they could afford, assuming that they could sell or refinance their homes at a higher price later on.

Optimism about housing values also led to a boom in home construction. Eventually, the number of new houses exceeded the number of people willing to buy them. And with supply exceeding demand, housing prices fell, and this created a problem.

Borrowers with adjustable-rate mortgages, who had been planning to sell or refinance their homes at a higher price, were stuck with homes worth less than expected, along with mortgage payments they could not afford.

As a result, many mortgage-holders began to default. These widespread defaults had effects far beyond the housing market.

See, in today's mortgage industry, home loans are often packaged together and converted into financial products called mortgage-backed securities. These securities were sold to investors around the world.

Many investors assumed these securities were trustworthy and purchasers of mortgage-backed securities were Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Because these companies were chartered by Congress, many believed they were guaranteed by the federal government. This allowed them to borrow enormous sums of money, fuel the market for questionable investments, and put our financial system at risk.

The decline in the housing market set off a domino effect across our economy. When home values declined, borrowers defaulted on their mortgages, and investors holding mortgage-backed securities began to incur serious losses.

Before long, these securities became so unreliable that they were not being bought or sold. Investment banks, such as Bear Stearns and they could not sell. They ran out of money needed to meet their immediate obligations, and they faced imminent collapse.

Other banks found themselves in severe financial trouble. These banks began holding on to their money, and lending dried up, and the gears of the American financial system began grinding to a halt.

With the situation becoming more precarious by the day, I faced a choice, to step in with dramatic government action or to stand back and allow the irresponsible actions of some to undermine the financial security of all.

I'm a strong believer in free enterprise, so my natural instinct is to oppose government intervention. I believe companies that make bad decisions should be allowed to go out of business.

Under normal circumstances, I would have followed this course. But these are not normal circumstances. The market is not functioning properly. There has been a widespread loss of confidence, and major sectors of America's financial system are at risk of shutting down.

The government's top economic experts warn that, without immediate action by Congress, America could slip into a financial panic and a distressing scenario would unfold.

More banks could fail, including some in your community. The stock market would drop even more, which would reduce the value of your retirement account. The value of your home could plummet. Foreclosures would rise dramatically.

And if you own a business or a farm, you would find it harder and more expensive to get credit. More businesses would close their doors, and millions of Americans could lose their jobs.

Even if you have good credit history, it would be more difficult for you to get the loans you need to buy a car or send your children to college. And, ultimately, our country could experience a long and painful recession.

Fellow citizens, we must not let this happen. I appreciate the work of leaders from both parties in both houses of Congress to address this problem and to make improvements to the proposal my administration sent to them.

There is a spirit of cooperation between Democrats and Republicans and between Congress and this administration. In that spirit, I've invited Senators McCain and Obama to join congressional leaders of both parties at the White House tomorrow to help speed our discussions toward a bipartisan bill.

I know that an economic rescue package will present a tough vote for many members of Congress. It is difficult to pass a bill that commits so much of the taxpayers' hard-earned money.

I also understand the frustration of responsible Americans who pay their mortgages on time, file their tax returns every April 15th, and are reluctant to pay the cost of excesses on Wall Street.

But given the situation we are facing, not passing a bill now would cost these Americans much more later.

Many Americans are asking, how would a rescue plan work? After much discussion, there's now widespread agreement on the principles such a plan would include.

It would remove the risk posed by the troubled assets, including mortgage-backed securities, now clogging the financial system. This would free banks to resume the flow of credit to American families and businesses.

Any rescue plan should also be designed to ensure that taxpayers are protected. It should welcome the participation of financial institutions, large and small. It should make certain that failed executives do not receive a windfall from your tax dollars.

BUSH: It should establish a bipartisan board to oversee the plan's implementation, and it should be enacted as soon as possible.

In close consultation with Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, and SEC Chairman Chris Cox, I announced a plan on Friday.

First, the plan is big enough to solve a serious problem. Under our proposal, the federal government would put up to $700 billion taxpayer dollars on the line to purchase troubled assets that are clogging the financial system.

In the short term, this will free up banks to resume the flow of credit to American families and businesses, and this will help our economy grow.

Second, as markets have lost confidence in mortgage-backed securities, their prices have dropped sharply, yet the value of many of these assets will likely be higher than their current price, because the vast majority of Americans will ultimately pay off their mortgages.

The government is the one institution with the patience and resources to buy these assets at their current low prices and hold them until markets return to normal.

And when that happens, money will flow back to the Treasury as these assets are sold, and we expect that much, if not all, of the tax dollars we invest will be paid back.

The final question is, what does this mean for your economic future? Well, the primary steps -- purpose of the steps I've outlined tonight is to safeguard the financial security of American workers, and families, and small businesses. The federal government also continues to enforce laws and regulations protecting your money.

The Treasury Department recently offered government insurance for money market mutual funds. And through the FDIC, every savings account, checking account, and certificate of deposit is insured by the federal government for up to $100,000.

The FDIC has been in existence for 75 years, and no one has ever lost a penny on an insured deposit, and this will not change.

Once this crisis is resolved, there will be time to update our financial regulatory structures. Our 21st-century global economy remains regulated largely by outdated 20th-century laws.

Recently, we've seen how one company can grow so large that its failure jeopardizes the entire financial system.

Earlier this year, Secretary Paulson proposed a blueprint that would modernize our financial regulations. For example, the Federal Reserve would be authorized to take a closer look at the operations of companies across the financial spectrum and ensure that their practices do not threaten overall financial stability.

There are other good ideas, and members of Congress should consider them. As they do, they must ensure that efforts to regulate Wall Street do not end up hampering our economy's ability to grow.

In the long run, Americans have good reason to be confident in our economic strength. Despite corrections in the marketplace and instances of abuse, democratic capitalism is the best system ever devised.

It has unleashed the talents and the productivity and entrepreneurial spirit of our citizens. It has made this country the best place in the world to invest and do business. And it gives our economy the flexibility and resilience to absorb shocks, adjust, and bounce back.

Our economy is facing a moment of great challenge, but we've overcome tough challenges before, and we will overcome this one.

I know that Americans sometimes get discouraged by the tone in Washington and the seemingly endless partisan struggles, yet history has shown that, in times of real trial, elected officials rise to the occasion.

And together we will show the world once again what kind of country America is: a nation that tackles problems head on, where leaders come together to meet great tests, and where people of every background can work hard, develop their talents, and realize their dreams.

Thank you for listening. May God bless you.

First Published: September 24, 2008: 9:46 PM ET

'Financial crisis' President Bush explains big bailout

'Financial crisis'
President Bush explains big bailout as high-stakes debate heats up.
By Jeanne Sahadi, CNNMoney.com senior writer
Last Updated: September 24, 2008: 10:20 PM ET
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- President Bush used a prime-time TV address on Wednesday night to press his case for a $700 billion bailout of the nation's shaky financial system.

Bush's proposal - to allow the Treasury to buy troubled assets threatening the health of financial institutions - aims to restore confidence to the credit markets.

In the past week, short-term borrowing that businesses rely on to make payroll and cover other operating expenses has shown signs of freezing. Further problems in the credit markets could cause the U.S. economy to seize up - threatening Wall Street and Main Street alike with a loss of jobs and a severe economic downturn.

"We are in the midst of a serious financial crisis," Bush said. "Our entire economy is in danger." (Read his entire address.)

"I propose that the federal government reduce the risk posed by the troubled assets and supply urgently needed money so banks and other financial institutions can avoid collapse and resume lending."

In recent days lawmakers, economists and administration officials have used the words "crisis," "calamity" and "meltdown" to describe the possible ramifications if no action is taken.

"The market is not functioning properly," Bush said. There is a widespread loss of confidence. America could slip into a financial panic."

Sweeping move into the markets
His proposal, first unveiled six days ago, would amount to the most sweeping economic intervention by the government since the Great Depression. The high-stakes debate over it gained rapid momentum on Wednesday.

Bush has called a White House meeting for Thursday afternoon to discuss the bailout. Congressional leaders and presidential candidates John McCain and Barack Obama are expected to attend.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke have spent the past week lobbying for the Bush's proposal. They have met with lawmakers privately and been grilled on Capitol Hill on successive days.

Democrats have criticized the president for not speaking out sooner, complaining that their constituents are angry about how much money is being requested and don't really understand how Wall Street's problems would affect them.

"One measure of the gravity of an issue is presidential involvement," said House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank, D-Mass., on Wednesday. "The absence of any presidential speech was hurting."

Lawmakers from both sides of the aisle, while acknowledging the need to take action, objected to the Treasury's proposal both for its size and for its lack of taxpayer protections. Paulson has contended the taxpayer risk is far greater by not doing something and letting the economy hit the skids.

Three pages, $700 billion
The spare, three-page proposal sent by the Treasury to lawmakers requested the authority to buy up to $700 billion in troubled assets.

Democrats want to add provisions that provide oversight; curb executive pay at companies that sell assets to the Treasury; let the government have the option of taking an equity stake in companies that participate; and require the government to encourage foreclosure prevention for the troubled loans it purchases.

After asking for a "clean" bill earlier in the week, Bush said, "any rescue plan ... should make certain that failed executives do not receive a windfall from your tax dollars."

Democrats would also like to add a provision that would amend the bankruptcy law to let judges modify filers' mortgages on primary residences, a move the lending industry has strongly opposed and which is one of the most controversial measures in the negotiations with Republicans and the administration.

Bush acknowledged the anger that Americans have expressed about his bailout plan.

"I understand the frustration of responsible Americans who pay their mortgage on time, file their tax returns every April 15 and are reluctant to pay the excess costs on Wall Street," he said. But, he added, "given the situation we're facing, not passing a bill now would cost these Americans much more later."

By investing taxpayer money in assets with underlying value, even if the market isn't yet sure what that value is currently, the government may make "much, if not all" of the money back when it resells the assets after the markets return to normal, Bush said.

Lawmakers, who were scheduled to recess for the year on Sept. 26, did not welcome the pressure to hurry and make a decision within a week of when the bailout proposal was first presented to them. Given that the negotiations are still going on, it's very possible both the House and Senate will meet next week to vote on the bill.

First Published: September 24, 2008: 8:40 PM ET

Find this article at:
http://money.cnn.com/2008/09/24/news/economy/bush_address_financialcrisis/index.htm?postversion=2008092422

Explaining the Financial Crisis

September 17th, 2008

Continuously Updated News Aggregation in Action
by Josh Korr

Scott framed his previous challenge to news sites in general terms: like Drudge, any site could use continuously updated aggregation to become a “destination for links to news of what’s going in the world.” But this kind of aggregation can be just as powerful when applied to specific stories or topics.

For example, you might have noticed that the U.S. financial system seems to be — how to put this delicately? — collapsing. Most readers (and, um, journalists) probably have only the faintest idea of what the heck is going on. Yet this is one case where many people would love some broccoli news, if only it made sense to them.

News sites could help explain the crisis by putting up a continuously updated aggregation of links to the best reporting and commentary. Some sites may already have bloggers linking to these stories, but why not put the links right on the front page? With things as tense and confusing as they are, we shouldn’t make readers hunt for context.

Journalists could find these stories individually, or they could leverage the power of a network to find and share links with other journalists and newsrooms.

I’ve created a Financial Crisis Newsgroup on Publish2 to do just that. Any journalist on Publish2 can join the group (email me at josh dot korr [at] publish2 dot com if you’re interested), and any news organization can publish those links on its site.

Here are some links from the Newsgroup:

Where did the government get $85 billion to bail out AIG?
A Slate explainer answers a good question: “Does the government really have a spare $85 billion lying around just in case?”

Seven Deadly Sins of Deregulation — and Three Necessary Reforms. A comprehensive look at how a lack of regulation of the financial industry led to the current crisis.

Economic Scene - Perhaps, It’s Time to Play Offense
David Leonhardt offers a diagnosis of the crisis: “Regulators, starting with Alan Greenspan, assumed that a real estate bubble couldn’t happen and that Wall Street could largely police itself. And households, struggling with incomes that haven’t kept up with inflation in recent years, said yes when those lightly regulated banks offered them wishful-thinking loans. No bailout can solve either problem.” He also suggests some solutions.

Stock Market Meltdowns - Why they will happen again and again and again
Some smart thoughts from Mark Cuban on how the imbalance between risk and reward for CEOs helped precipitate the crisis. Cuban has a great suggestion for a new law: “If the government must step in and provide any sort of financing or guarantees for any part of a public company’s business, then all officers and directors lose all rights to severance pay and all outstanding vested or unvested options or warrants immediately become canceled.”

Americans confront economic reality
Andrew Sullivan’s take on the financial crisis: “To my mind, what is happening now in the economy is the same as what happened in Iraq after the invasion. The denial of the American people of the reality of the world they live in has finally caught up with them.”

This doesn’t require days of planning or hours of overtime. When Scott wrote about the pace of innovation in journalism earlier this year, he mentioned a 48-hour experiment. That’s horse-and-buggy speed by now.

You could set up a Newsgroup, seed it with some links, and publish the links on your site in 15 minutes (okay — maybe add an hour to get a few colleagues to join in). Adding subsequent links takes all of two mouse clicks.

News sites should of course experiment with more general-topic aggregation, a la Drudge. But when stories unfold as jarringly fast as the Wall Street meltdown, continuously updated aggregation could be a huge help for readers who are grasping for understanding.

And if you do this for a couple of major stories, the next time a big one breaks they’ll know where to turn for answers first.

US in 'once-in-a-century' financial crisis : Greenspan




Sep 14 02:18 PM US/Eastern
http://www.breitbart.tv/?p=174493

The United States is mired in a "once-in-a century" financial crisis which is now more than likely to spark a recession, former Federal Reserve chief Alan Greenspan said Sunday.
The talismanic ex-central banker said that the crisis was the worst he had seen in his career, still had a long way to go and would continue to effect home prices in the United States.

"First of all, let's recognize that this is a once-in-a-half-century, probably once-in-a-century type of event," Greenspan said on ABC's "This Week."

Asked whether the crisis, which has seen the US government step in to bail out mortgage giants Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, was the worst of his career, Greenspan replied "Oh, by far."

"There's no question that this is in the process of outstripping anything I've seen, and it still is not resolved and it still has a way to go," Greenspan said.

"And indeed, it will continue to be a corrosive force until the price of homes in the United States stabilizes.

"That will induce a series of events around the globe which will stabilize the system."

Greenspan was also asked whether the United States had a greater-than 50 percent chance of escaping a recession.

"No, I think it's less than 50 percent.

"I can't believe we could have a once-in-a-century type of financial crisis without a significant impact on the real economy globally, and I think that indeed is what is in the process of occurring."

The former Federal Reserve chairman also predicted that the financial crisis would see the failure of more major financial institutions, even as embattled Wall Street investment giant Lehman Brothers scrambled to find a buyer.

"In and of itself that does not need to be a problem.

"It depends on how it is handled and how the liquidations take place. And indeed we shouldn't try to protect every single institution."

On Saturday, Democrat Barack Obama's campaign seized on a warning from Greenspan about John McCain's tax plans to portray the Republican as economically reckless.

In an interview with Bloomberg Television Friday, Greenspan said the nation could not afford 3.3 trillion dollars of tax cuts proposed by McCain without matching cuts in spending.

Greenspan, a long-time friend of McCain and a Republican, said about the Arizona senator's plans to extend massive tax cuts imposed by President George W. Bush: "I'm not in favor of financing tax cuts with borrowed money."

McCain has said he would pay for his cuts by ending pet funding projects for US lawmakers' districts known as "earmarks."

G7 outlines broad but vague plan to combat crisis


By Greg Robb, MarketWatch
Last update: 8:28 p.m. EDT Oct. 10, 2008

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson laid out more details of his radical plans to buy equity in banks Friday, while the Group of Seven finance ministers and central bank governors urged its members to take whatever steps are necessary to restore market confidence.
After their closed-door meeting Friday, the G7 set out a broad "plan of action" to stabilize global financial markets, in a one-page plan that was sweeping in scope but short on specifics.
Credit crisis: Global responses

G7 nations vow action
Finance ministers outline sweeping commitment to "urgent and exceptional" actions to stabilize financial markets.
The plan calls for banks to be recapitalized with public and private funds, but makes no specific mention of another common suggestion: Guaranteeing all interbank debt worldwide.
The G7 meeting came as global stock markets endured another volatile day. Investors around the world scrambled to move their funds into the safest and most liquid investments, such as cash and government bonds, fearing that the seizing up of credit markets could lead to a major recession and the failure of large corporations.
In a press conference, Paulson gave some new details of the emerging plans by the U.S. federal government to inject capital directly into a "broad array" of financial firms.
Paulson said that officials are working on a "standardized program that is open to a broad array of financial institutions."
Paulson said the Treasury is working as quickly as possible to nail down the details and get the recapitalization plan running. He said the government wants to "do it right."
The plan is to attract private capital to complement the government's funds, he said.
Paulson went out of his way to say existing shareholders would be protected, and that the government would only make the purchases through a "broadly available equity program" without any voting power, "except with the market standard terms to protect our rights as investors."
The G7 said that "urgent and exceptional action" is needed to stabilize financial markets.
We will continue to act in line with this solid anchoring of inflation expectations and the necessity, again, to deliver price stability."
The financial and monetary leaders vowed to use all available tools to support systemically important financial institutions and prevent them from failing.
Also on the G7 to-do list were unfreezing credit and money markets, ensuring banks can raise capital from the private sector, ensuring that deposit insurance regimes were robust, and repairing secondary mortgage markets where appropriate.
The actions should be taken in ways that would protect taxpayers and avoid damaging other countries.
Interest rate policy should be used "as necessary and appropriate," the G7 plan said.
It is unclear whether the plan will go far enough to satisfy financial markets, which are suffering from a profound loss of confidence.
Jean-Claude Trichet, the president of the European Central Bank, said that markets needed time to digest the G7 stance.
"My experience of markets is that it takes always a little time for markets to capture all the elements that are associated with the decisions that we are taking, and also with the principles that we are displaying," Trichet said.
"It's normal that there is a maturing process."
At first blush, some analysts were not too impressed.
Robert Brusca, chief economist at FAO Economics, called the statement "fluff - good fluff but fluff."
Vincent Reinhart, a former top staffer at the Federal Reserve Board, said markets had no interest in pledges but wanted to know exactly what the G7 would do before trading resumes Monday.
Reinhart said the financial markets are moving quickly, which makes the gears of international economic policymakers seem to move more slowly.
"I think the finance ministers just failed a test, or at best got a C minus," said Paul Krugman, a Princeton University economics professor and New York Times columnist.
But Sherry Cooper, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, said she thought the principles expressed by the G7 would reassure markets.
Economists have said they wanted the G7 to agree on measures including sweeping guarantees of bank deposits and interbank lending, as well as direct injections of taxpayer money to recapitalize ailing banks.
"They have to deliver the goods because the markets are just not going to stabilize unless they do," said Brian Hilliard, head of economic research at Societe Generale. "And the goods are government guarantees of deposits."
Ahead of the meeting, Ken Rogoff, a Harvard University professor and former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, said there needed to be an "overwhelming" G7 statement.
"I think the worst thing to do would be to come out with a very tepid response," he said. "It would be the end of the G7."
"This is really the mother of all financial crises since World War II, and if the G7 leaders can't ... get it together and come out with a very effective statement, it is going to be a sad day indeed," Rogoff said.
With global equity markets plunging, the odds of coordinated action "are increasing by the hour," Hilliard said. "The gravity of the situation is just obvious to everybody."
Greg Robb is a senior reporter for MarketWatch in Washington.

Despite rebound, stocks end worst week ever

Market Dispatches10/10/2008 8:35 PM ET

By Charley Blaine and Elizabeth Strott

The stock market finished its worst week ever with a dramatic rebound from even worse lows.
The Dow Jones industrials moved more than 1,000 points during the session -- from a low of nearly 700 points to a gain of more than 300 -- before falling back again. It was the first 1,000-point swing for the blue-chip index.
The blue chips closed down 128 points, or 1.5%, to 8,451. Twice during the day, the index fell under 8,000 for the first time since April 2003. Twice it bounced back. The Standard & Poor's 500 fell 11 points, or 1.2%, to 899. But the Nasdaq Composite Index gained 4 points, or 0.3%, to 1,650. A big engine in the Nasdaq's gain: a 9.1% gain to $96.80 in Apple (AAPL, news, msgs). The iPod maker had fallen as low as $85 at the open.
For the week, the Dow and S&P 500 were off 18.2%. It was the worst week for the Dow in its 112-year history and the worst week for the S&P 500 since the week of May 21, 1933. The Nasdaq's 15.3% loss was its worst since the week of April 10, 2000, as the dot-com bust broke.
The market turmoil was so great that crude oil tumbled in response, finishing Friday at $77.70, down 10.3% on the day and 17% on the week. The close was crude's lowest since September 2007.
"A psychiatrist is what is needed to help investors today," Tony Crescenzi, chief bond market strategist at Miller Tabak, told MarketWatch.com.

Did the rebound signal a bottom?
It's too early to say if Friday's rebound from the lows means stocks have seen a bottom. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq are all off more than 40% since peaks reached in October 2007 and have lost 27%, 30% and 30%, respectively, since Aug. 31.
The third-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear next week, and investors are bracing for lower profits and reduced profit estimates from companies. Among companies set to report: Intel (INTC, news, msgs), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, news, msgs), JPMorgan Chase (JPM, news, msgs), Wells Fargo (WFC, news, msgs), Citigroup (C, news, msgs) and Google (GOOG, news, msgs).
Stock Charts (Year)
Dow Jones Industrial Avg.






S&P 500

If the reports are worse than expected, stocks could fall back.
But by far the largest problem remains the global credit crisis that has made banks in the United States and elsewhere unwilling to lend to each other. The crunch has threatened many businesses because they can't get short-term financing to fund daily operations. The crunch has also resulted in fewer customers getting approved for mortgages, car loans and credit cards.
In addition, many investors have lost confidence in markets, government solutions to fix the problems and corporate management skill.
"Things are still very stressed, and we don't know what's going to fix it, " Barry Moran, a currency trader with the Bank of Ireland in Dublin, told Bloomberg News.
The three-month London interbank offered rate, or Libor, rose to 4.82% Friday from 4.75% Thursday. It was the highest level all year and was up from 2.82% one month ago. Higher Libor rates indicate aversion to lending and to risk generally. The Libor typically follows central banks' interest rates.
The stock market plunge -- the Dow has fallen 22% so far in October -- has forced many hedge funds to liquidate stocks to meet margin calls. Another casualty: Chesapeake Energy CEO Aubrey McClendon was forced to sell "substantially all" of his company stock over the past three days to meet margin loan calls. Unless the cash gets freed up, experts say, the U.S. could face a very serious recession. Other countries may face bigger problems.
Finance officials from the major industrials were meeting this weekend in Washington, D.C., to discuss the situation. Late Friday, they agreed on common guidelines to address the world financial crisis, a move that opens the way for a series of government actions. But The Wall Street Journal said the agreement falls short of the joint plan that many investors had sought.
Among the guidelines, countries agreed to "use all available tools" to prevent systemically important financial institutions from failing, and to ensure that bank deposit insurance programs are solid; to ensure that banks can raise capital from government as well as private sources.
Many investors and traders were disappointed in the deal; they'd hoped for a dramatic G-7 accord, such as a concrete agreement to guarantee bank debt.
At the same time, Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson said the government will move ahead with plans to buy equity stakes in financial institutions. The administration received authority to make direct purchases of stock in the $700 billion rescue bill Congress recently passed.
Paulson said the program to purchase stock in financial institutions will be open to a broad array of institutions.
The administration received the authority to make direct purchases of stock in banks in the $700 billion measure Congress passed last week to rescue the nation's financial system.
The government hasn't had ownership positions in banks since the Great Depression.

A wild last hour of trading
The last hour of trading Friday had been billed as potentially crazy, and it delivered. There were reports that hedge funds are being forced to sell stocks to meet margin calls from brokers. The market is also being hit by redemptions by mutual funds.
Then, the rally took off, in part because many investors began to sense that a credit plan would emerge this weekend.
The biggest losses came from energy stocks, which were falling because of a sharp decline in crude oil. Crude in New York fell 10.3% to $77.70. That's the lowest close for crude since September 2007.
Losses for Dow components Chevron (CVX, news, msgs), down 9.6% to $57.83, and ExxonMobil (XOM, news, msgs), down 8.3% to $62.36, were worth about 93 points of the Dow's loss by themselves.
A widely watched measure of market fear, the CBOE Volatility Index ($VIX.X ($VIX.X) ), hit a record 75.92 Friday before dropping back to 69.95.
Twenty of the 30 Dow stocks were lower on the day along with 321 S&P 500 stocks and 61 Nasdaq-100 ($NDX.X) stocks. The Nasdaq-100, which tracks the largest Nasdaq stocks, was down 5 points, or 0.4% to 1,270. Apple's gain was worth 11 points for the index.
Energy prices -- New York close
Fri. Thur. Chg. Month chg. YTD chg.
Crude oil (NYMEX) (per barrel) $77.70 $86.59 -$8.89 -22.79% -19.05%
Natural gas (per million BTU) $6.5380 $6.8250 -$0.2870 -12.10% -12.63%
Unleaded gasoline (per gallon) $1.8070 $2.0273 -$0.2203 -27.27% -27.45%
Sellers of insurance on bonds issued by bankrupt investment house Lehman Bros. may face demands that they pay out more than 91 cents on the dollar to buyers of those insurance contracts.
That’s the upshot of an unusual auction process Friday that established the price for defaulted Lehman debt and, in turn, potential claims payouts on insurance protecting that debt, known as credit default swaps.
Certainly, some firms will take a hit because of the pricing, potentially amounting to billions of dollars in combined losses. In the Lehman auction, participants included most major financial firms from around the world. But it’s too early to tell which companies will be on the hook or for how much. Some of the sellers bought protection for themselves, for example.
In a best-case scenario, said Barry Silbert, chief executive of SecondMarket, a marketplace for trading illiquid assets, financial companies that sold default swap contracts would make their payouts in the coming weeks, have enough capital to cover all the positions, and take their losses and move on.
In a worst-case scenario, sellers of the swaps would not have the cash to make the payments and would have to liquidate their assets to cover their positions.
"The next two weeks will be very telling," Silbert added.
The auction had been watched closely as a gauge for valuing the problems faced by financial companies from the mortgage and housing collapse. And it was one reason why Goldman Sachs (GS, news, msgs) fell 12.4% to $88.80. For the week, Goldman Sachs was down 30.6%.
Moody’s also raised concerns about Goldman’s long-term credit rating on Thursday, lowering its outlook to negative.

Europe and Asia have an ugly day
The American market took its cue at the open from Europe and Asia.
London's FTSE 100 Index ($GB:UKX) fell 8.9%, Germany's Xetra DAX Index ($DE:DAX) was down 7%, and Europe's broader Dow Jones Stoxx600 Index lost 7.5%. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index ($N225) plunged 9.6% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index ($HSIX) closed down 7.2%.
Equity trading was halted in Austria, Russia, Indonesia, Ukraine and Iceland.
Investors are selling everything during the current financial panic, but when they realize the end of the world hasn't arrived, we might be in for a big rally. MSN Money's Jim Jubak thinks we'll have a clearer picture of the financial landscape by Oct. 23.

Short hits from the markets -- New York close
Fri. Thur. Chg. Month chg. YTD chg.
Treasurys
13-week Treasury bill 0.210% 0.580% -0.370 -76.67% -93.31%
5-year Treasury note yield 2.762% 2.823% -0.061 -7.50% -20.06%
10-year Treasury note yield 3.861% 3.834% 0.027 0.89% -4.31%
30-year Treasury bond yield 4.137% 4.120% 0.017 -3.90% -7.22%
Currencies
U.S. Dollar Index 82.850 81.365 1.485 4.40% 8.03%
British pound in dollars $1.7042 $1.7091 -0.0050 -4.40% -14.33%
Dollar in British pounds £0.5868 £0.5851 0.0017 4.60% 16.73%
Euro in dollars $1.3486 $1.3598 -0.0112 -4.36% -7.73%
Dollar in euros € 0.7415 € 0.7354 0.0061 4.55% 8.37%
Dollar in yen 99.50 99.59 -0.09 -6.16% -11.04%
Canadian dollar in U.S. dollars $0.841 $0.872 -$0.0306 -10.54% -15.26%
U.S. dollar in Canadian dollars $1.188 $1.147 $0.0417 11.72% 17.92%

Commodities
Fri. Thur. Chg. Month chg. YTD chg.
Gold $859.00 $886.50 -$27.50 -2.48% 2.51%
Copper $2.1445 $2.4060 -$0.26 -25.51% -29.48%
Silver $10.60 $11.875 -$1.28 -13.65% -28.95%
Corn $4.0825 $4.3825 -$0.30 -16.26% -10.37%
Crude oil (NYMEX) (per barrel)
$77.70 $86.59 -$8.89 -22.79% -19.05%

What Caused The Financial Crisis?


Reporting Jason DeRusha (WCCO) Sep 18, 2008 10:53 pm US/Central

It's been a gut-wrenching time on Wall Street, with large institutions collapsing and the government stepping in. So what started this mess?

"Step one was risky, inappropriate, unfair mortgage lending," according to Prentiss Cox, a Professor at the University of Minnesota School of Law, and a nationally-known expert on the housing crisis.

If "you don't have this imprudent, crazy mortgage lending, you don't have this financial crisis. It's that simple," Cox said.

Cox tracks the problem to late 2007 and early 2008, when some mortgage lenders were aggressively pushing subprime loans to people by fraudulently overestimating the value of the homes or overstating the lender's income.

"There was a period, a go-go period over the last five years in particular, where it was all about getting the fees on the loan, and almost no attention about whether the person could pay the loan," Cox said.

When those people couldn't pay, they lost their homes. That led to record numbers of foreclosures.

"These mortgage loans went into default before the first payment was made," said Cox. "Housing prices, which had been rising in an untypical and unsustainable manner, and mortgage defaults then became locked in a self-reinforcing downward spiral."

The next domino to fall was the shady lenders who pushed those bad loans; they went bankrupt.

"Then all the institutions that funded the lenders, taken these things and put them into what's called securities and sold of little pieces, but retained some of the riskier pieces, were now on the hook," Cox said.

The investors took on too much risk, too much debt and collapsed. Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch and AIG all got caught up in the mess, according to Cox. That's led to government bailouts.

Cox said nothing in the broader economy triggered this current financial crisis.

"That's what the shocking thing is about this whole process," he said. "Risky and imprudent and unfair mortgage lending practices caused people to lose their homes even when they had jobs. And the result was it happened in such large numbers, and there was so much money involved, that that has spread to the entire economy."

The government is spending billions of dollars to bailout corporations but Cox said it wouldn't be practical to spend that money instead on bailing out the people with foreclosed homes.

"Many of these homeowners have no hope of making payments even with a subsidy," he explained, as many of the subprime loans were "fraudulent loans designed to just bleed money for the loan originators or others from the initial closing."

Cox also said the cost of bailing out homeowners would be "substantially higher" than bailing out businesses. The administrative costs of contacting hundreds of thousands of foreclosure victims, and paying them would be substantial, according to Cox.

"Giving government money to homeowners to pay off loan arrearages would amount to the same thing as a bailout of the lenders and mortgage securities holders because the homeowners would be using the money to pay the lenders," he added.

(© MMVIII, CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved.)

АНУ-ын Аляскийн байнгын сангийн тухай танилцуулга


НЭЭЛТТЭЙ НИЙГЭМ ФОРУМ

Эрхэм Таныг

Газрын тосны орлогыг иргэддээ хүртээх зорилгоор олон жил амжилттай ажиллаж буй АНУ-ын Аляскийн байнгын сангийн тухай танилцуулга уулзалтад урьж байна. Танилцуулгыг тус санд олон жил ажилласан Олон улсын валютын сангийн зөвлөх Дэвид Жентри хийнэ.

Уулзалт 2008 оны 10 дугаар сарын 10-ны өдрийн 11 цагт Нээлттэй Нийгэм Форумын уулзалтын танхимд болно.

Оролцохыг хүсэгчид 313207 утсаар, мөн Dolgorsuren@forum.mn хаягаар Долгорсүрэнд бүртгүүлнэ үү.

Хөтөлбөр

11:00-11:10 Танилцуулгын нээлт,
П. Эрдэнэжаргал, Нээлттэй Нийгэм Форумын Гүйцэтгэх Захирал

11:10-11:40 Аляскийн байнгын сан: түүх, үйл ажиллагаа
Дэвид Жентри, Олон Улсын Валютын Сангийн Зөвлөх

11:40-12:30 Асуулт хариулт, хэлэлцүүлэг

Аляскийн байнгын сан нь 1976 онд Аляска мужийн үндсэн хуулиар байгуулагдсан, ашигт малтмал, газрын тосны борлуулалтын орлого, нөөц ашигласны төлбөрийн тодорхой хувийг хуримтлуулах замаар бүрддэг байна. Анх 800,000 долларын хөрөнгөөс бүрдэж байсан бол 2007 онд 40 тэрбум долларын хөрөнгөтэй болтлоо өсч, 2008 онд 3269 долларыг иргэн бүрт олгожээ.

99 хувийг авья л даа!

Мэргэн хvн бусдын алдаанаас сурна
Ухаантай хvн єєрийн алдаанаас сурна
Тэнэг хvн алдаагаа давтана.
(Хэн хэлснийг нь мартав)

Yvссэн нєхцєл байдал:
•“стратегийн орд” хэмээх нэр томьёо буй боллоо.
•34-51 хувийг тєр эзэмшинэ гэв.
•vнэгvй эзэмшинэ гэсэн ойлголт ядуу ард тvмэнд тєрvvлэхээ мартсангvй.
•vнэгvй олдож байгаа юм чинь ер нь 99%-ийг тєр эзэмшинэ гэсэн ч яадаг
юм, мангар гадныхан 1%-ийг эзэмшихийн тєлєє хєрєнгє оруулалтынх нь 100% гаргана биз гэсэн гэнэн санаа, улс тєрчдийн хуурмаг, дутуу мээсэж єлсгєлєн тvмний хорхойг гозолзуулж, vнэ ханшны галзуурлыг даллана. Монголчуул 9-ийн тоонд дуртай юм чинь: ер нь хоёр есєєр ч яадаг юм, нэг мєсєн 99,99% буюу дєвєн ес болгоё гээд шунал ер гvйцэгдэх биш. Мєнгє хєрєнгєє зарж монголтой хамтрах нєгєє этгээд маань харин vvнийг юу гэх бол гэхээс яс хавталзана.

Yндэслэл нь: Ард тvмэн газар доорхи баялгийн эзэн гэсэн vндсэн хуулийн заалтыг иш vндэс болгон нэг удаад зарчихсан юмыг хоёр гуравдахиа гарган ирж, гадна дотныхны гайхашийг тєрvvлнэ. Учир нь бvх ард тvмний ємчийг ашигласны тєлєє нэгд, тэндэрт орж лицензийн нэг удаагийн тєлбєрийг тєлнє, хоёрт орлогын албан татвар тєлнє, гуравт, ашигт малтмалын нєєцийн татварыг тєлнє. Сонирхолтой нь, vнэхээр барууныхан хvлээн зєвшєєрч болох, байгаль орчны нєхєн сэргээлтийн баталгаа мєнгє, дэнчин энэ тэр нэхэхгvй шахам байгаа нь бvр гайхалтай.
Гэж байтал vйл явдал бvр ч сонин тийш эргэлээ.
•Айвэнхо майнз хувьцааныхаа 10%-ийг 1,5 тэрбум доллараар зарав.
•Тэгэхээр 34% нь ойролцоогоор 5,1 тэрбум доллар болно гэсэн vг. [Author: Correction-Rio is buying 9.95 pct of Ivanhoe immediately by subscribing for 37.1 mln shares at 8.18 usd each, or a total of 303 mln usd. Once Ivanhoe and Mongolian government have concluded an investment agreement, Rio will acquire a further 9.95 pct of Ivanhoe, or 46.3 mln shares, at 8.38 usd apiece, totaling 388 mln usd. Rio also has warrants to raise its Ivanhoe holding to 33.35 pct, representing a total investment of 1.5 bln usd. In addition, it has the right during the first five years to acquire up to an additional 6.65 pct of Ivanhoe through open market transactions, which would take its maximum holding to 40 pct; Source: www.forbes.com/afxnewslimited/feeds/afx/2006/10/18/afx3100345.html] Энэ бол манай улсын тєсєв байтугай нийт бvтээгдэхvvнээс ч давах их тоо юм. Ашигт малтмалын хуулин дахь тєрийн оролцооны тухай дээрх заалт хийгээд Айвэнхоу 10%-ийнхаа хувьцааг зарсан нь зvгээр л энэ мэтийн мєнгийг тєлнє шvv л гэдгийг харуулах гэж жишиг тогтоосон мэт. Бизнесийнхэнд тиймэрхvv гvйлгээ ухаан байлгvй дээ.
•Энэ их мєнгє єнєєдєр Монголын тєрд байхгvй тул тvрvvчийн Засгийн газрын ажлын хэсэг Айвэнхо майнз Оюу толгойн ордыг ашиглаад тєлєх татварын орлогоос тэр дvнгээр нь чєлєєлєх байдлаар тооцоо хийхээр Хєрєнгє оруулалтын гэрээгээр тохирсон байна. Тэгэхээр, Монголын засаг ямартай ч тєлбєрийг нь хийнэ гэдгийг хvлээн зєвшєєрсєн байна. Энэ тухайгаа олон тvмэнд ойлгомжтой тодорхой хэлчихэж чадалгvй дvлэгнэсээр єдийг хvрлээ. Єнєєдєр зvгээр л татвар, хураамжаа бvрэн авч байхыг хэдэн арван жилийн дараа орж ирж ч магад, vгvй ч байж болох ногдол ашигаар солихын хэрэг юу байна даа. Доллар ч гэсэн ханш нь унаж инфляцид орно. Арван жилийн ємнє галлон (манайхаар бол 4л орчим) бензин ганц доллар хvрэхтэй vгvйтэй байсан бол одоо 4 доллар давсан байна. Дээр нь мєнгєний єнєєгийн болон ирээдvйн єртєг гэж байдаг. Мєнгє гэдэг цаг хугацаа єнгєрєхєд хvv єгч єсєж байдаг зvйл.
•Стратегийн ордын жагсаалт гэж тоо тоймшгvй олон юм УИХ маань батлав. Тэр бvгдэд ногдох тєрийн ємчийн 34-51%-ийг худалдан авах мєнгийг Монголын тєр хэдэн арван жилдээ ч олохгvй. Гагцхvv шунал гэж юм хэзээд хязгааргvй.
•Одоо иргэн бvрт олгоно гэж нам бvр шахам зарлаад байгаа эх орны хишиг ч гэх шиг, эрдэнийн хувь ч гэх шиг алаагvй байвгайн арьсыг хуваах эрvvл бус амлалт болон ерєєс тєрийн vйлчилгээний зайлшгvй зардлыг хаанаас гаргах гээд байгаа нь ерєєс ойлгомжгvй хоцров. Нэг ч намын мєрийн хєтєлбєрєєс олж харсангvй.

Тєр хувь эзэмшихийн хэрэг юу байна даа?

Нэгэн зvйл. Менежментэд оролцох. Тэдгээр ордыг ашиглах компаний ТУЗ-д тєрийг тєлєєлж нэгэн болон хэсэг этгээд сууна. Тєрийн ємч давамгайлсанд нь бол ерєнхий захирлаар очих гэж эрх баригч намууд ёстой эрэгчинээ vзэх нь гэм биш зан. Тэгээд ч тєр хамгийн муу менежер гэдэг биш vv.

Нэгэн зvйл. Авилгал. Тєрийн ємчит компани байгуулаад тєрийн байгууллагын авилгалын асуудал нєгєє компани руу шилжинэ. Энэ тухай улиг болтол ярьсан.

Нэгэн зvйл. Ашиг сонирхлын зєрчил. Хянаж байх ёстой тєр маань єєрєє бизнесийн vйл ажиллагаанд нь орж хутгалдаад єєрєє єєрийгээ хянах мэтийн шал балай утгагvй асуудал vvснэ. Yvнийг ашиг сонирхлын зєрчил гэдэг. Нэг талаас тєр бvх ард тvмнийг тєлєєлж аж ахуйн vйл ажиллагаанд хяналт тавих чиг vvрэгтэй. Нєгєє талаас єєрийн биш (тєр ядахнаа нэг мєнгєний бvтээгдэхvvн ямар хийдэг биш) татвар тєлєгчийн мєнгєєр ашиг олох зорилгоор эрсдэлтэй vйл ажиллагаа эрхлэх болж байна. Энэ хоёрын хооронд vvсэх зєрчлийг хэлээд байна.

Нэгэн зvйл. Ногдол ашиг хvртэх. Тєрийн оролцооны хувьцаа эзэмшсэнээр хэрэв компани ашигтай ажиллавал ногдол ашиг хvртэнэ. Зэсийн vнэ хэзээд байгаагvй єндєр тvвшинд хvрсэн 2007 онд ч Эрдэнэтээс авч байгаа ногдол ашиг маань татварын орлогоосоо дєрєв дахин бага байна. 1999-2000 онд Эрдэнэтээс орж байсан татвар болон ногдол ашиг нийлээд хагас сарын ч цалин тавьж хvрэхгvй байсныг гэнэт санагдах нь юун? Ямар сайн даа л Оросын тєр 1999 онд єєрийн эзэмшлийн 49 %-ийг БЕЛАЗ-ны 4 дугуйны vнээр хувьчилж, манай ерєнхий сайд тvvнийг нь дэмжиж, манайх бас тийм аргаар єєрийнхєє 51%-ийг хувьчилна гэсэн утгатай захиа явуулснаас болж Засгийн газар огцорч байсныг єнєєдєр бvгд мартсан мэт. Хэрэв ашиггvй ажиллавал алдагдлаа хувь тэнцvv хуваалцаж таарна. Уул уурхайн тєслvvд эрсдэл єндєртэй тул олохоосоо алдах нь илvv ч байж мэднэ.

Нэгэн зvйл. Хариуцлага. Ємчтэй байж vзээгvй арад тvмэн 90 оны цагаан морин жилээс эхлэн гэнэт ємчтэй болж эхэлсэн. Ємчтэй хvн хариуцлагатай байх учиртай боловч эрхийг нь эдлээд, vvргээ умартах нь бидний араншин. Ємч хувьчлалын ягаан болон цэнхэр тасалбараа ерээд оны эхэнд шил архинаас єгчихсєн хvмvvсийг яалтай бил ээ? Одоо бас тэгэхгvй гэх ямар баталгаа байна.
Санхvvгийн хариуцлага ч гэж байна. Уул геологийн нєхцєл таамаглаж байснаас єєр болох, эсхvл дэлхийн зах зээл дээр тvvхий эдийн vнэ унах зэргээр давагдашгvй хvчин зvйл, аливаа жаргал зовлонгийн эрсдлийг татвар тєлєгчийн нуруун дээр тэднээс асуулгvй vvрvvлэх гээд байгааг юу гэж ойлгох вэ? Байгаль орчны цэвэрлэгээ, нєхєн сэргээлтийн зардал гэж бидний бараг мэдэхгvй асар их зардлын сураг дуулдаад байдаг. Yvнийг нь бас давхар тєсвийн хєрєнгєєр тухайлбал татвар тєлєгчийн мєнгєнєєс хувь тэнцvvлэн тєлж таарах болж байна.

Нэгэн зvйл. Хувьчлахын хооронд нийгэмчлэхийн хэрэг байна уу? Байсхийж байгаад л нэг олигархийнх нь шунал хєдлєєд болохгvй байна энэ тэр гэсээр хувьчилж авахын аян дайнд мордоно. Тєр хамгийн муу менежер байдаг vлгэрийг дахин давтан яриад яах вэ. Нэгэнтээ л хувьчлахын хооронд заавал татвар тєлєгчийн мєнгєєр тийм компани байгуулж, єр авлага vvсгэхийн хэрэг ер нь юу байна даа? гэж Худалдаа аж vйлдвэрийн танхимын Дэмбэрэлийн хэлсэн нь ортой л зvйл. Бас хувьчилж авахын тулд эхлээд юу ч vгvй болгож дампууруулан тартагт нь тулгадаг хувьчлалын Монгол хувилбар даанч хурдан бойжиж тєлєвшсєн дєє.

Нэгэн зvйл. “Yндэсний аюулгvй байдлын” асуудал.
Эрдэнэтийг монголын тєр оросуудтай 51:49-єєр хувааж эзэмшидэг нь бас монголын тєрийн сэтгэлгээнд ганц брих жишиг мэт vзэгдэж буй нь нууц биш. Харин Монголын талд Эрдэнэтийн 51 хувийг Оросууд май гээд бэлэглэчихсэн юм шиг бодож ярих нь vнэнд нийцэхгvй. Ганц Эрдэнэт ч биш, тємєр зам, Монголросцветмет гээд том жижиг нийлсэн нэлээд хэдэн хамтарсан vйлдвэрийн Монголын талын 50-51 хувь гэгчийг Оросууд зээдийн єрєнд бичиж бидний хэдхэн жилийн ємнє арай гэж дарсан нєгєє “их єр ” гэгч зээлийн дансны цємийг бvрдvvлсэн хэрэг. Энэ “их єр”-ийн хєшvvрэг нь Оросуудад монголын зэсийг зах зээлийн vнээс 4-5 дахин багаар авах, бас нэг резинэн ишиг (тоглоом)-ийг нас бие гvйцсэн амьд ямаагаар солих мэтийн яавчиг иргэншсэн орчин цагийн гадаад худалдаанд баймгvй дээрмийн гадаад худалдааг хийх онц эрхийг тэрчигт нь шилжvvлэх бололцоог олгосон гэлтэй. Энэ єнцгєєс нь харахул аливаа том тєсєлд тєр оролцох нь, тэр тусмаа томоохон хэмжээний єр зээл тавьж оролцох нь харин ч vндэсний эдийн засгийн аюулгvй байдалд халтай хийгээд халгаатай.

Асуудал: Ерээд оны эхэнд Соко интернашнл гэгч Америкийн компанид манайхан газрын тосны Тамсагийн ордыг єгсєн чинь нєгєєх нь хуншгvй зан гаргаж Хятадад зарчихаад алга болоод єгснийг монголчууд албан ёсоор ярьдаггvй боловч, араандаа зуусан. “Золбин америк” гэсэн vг тєрийн цагдаагаас аваад зарим сайдын амнаас хvртэл унах болсонд дан манийгаа єєчилж суудаг элчин сайд болон хэнэггvй америкчvvл ер ухаарч байгаа болов уу? Америк нь америк юм уу, эсхvл Хятадын хєлсний тєлєєлєл болж орж ирээд байна уу гэдэг асуудал монгол тєрийн толгойтой бvхний санааг чилээх шvдний євчин болсныг нуух юун. Тэр тусмаа тєрт ёсны уламжлалыг тєрд гарсан хэдээсээ илvv сайн мэддэг тvмэнтэй газар бол. Анх Жэймс Бэйкэр гэдэг дэд ерєнхийлєгч Монголд ирэхэд бид ардчиллын элч, бараг л Тэнгэрийн элч мэтээр хvлээж авч билээ. Радио телевиз байгаа бvх мэдээллийн хэрэгслээр гарч, айл гэр бvрт яриа хєєрєєний сэдэв, од болоод буцсан. Харин арав гаруй жилийн дараа Айвэнхогийн Фрийдландын зараалаар ирэхэд нь монголчуул дипломат ёс харуулж ирсэн ирээгvйг нь мэдээгvй мэт тєр нь ч тэр, тvмэн нь ч тэр чимээгvйхэн єнгєрсєн. Yнэндээ бол монголын талыг тєрийн оролцоо мэтийн гаж асуудалд тvлхэхэд Соко интернашнлын балаг магад шийдвэрлэх vvрэг гvйцэтгэсэн биз. Yvнийг Бутны хvvхдийн элч мэдэж ухалгvй улаантны сонгуулийн булхайг нуух гэж энэ зун хєгєє дэлгэж, хvvхэд нохойн доог болов.

Боломжит шийдэл: Сайтар бодолцож, ултай шийдэх асуудал. Хєнгєн гоомгой хєдєлж яавчиг болохгvй. Гэвч энэ нь зєвхєн Монгол-АНУ-ын харилцааны буюу америкийн нэг компани монголын тєрийг хульхидсаных нь, эсвэл хульхидсан гэж бид бодсоны тєлєє барууны бvх бизнесийг залхаан цээрлvvлэх тухай асуудал биш.
Бид єєрсдийн ашигт малтмалын хэрхэн яаж ашиглах вэ? Монголчууд єєрсдийн ирээдvйг хэрхэх вэ? гэсэн єнцгєєс асуудалд хандах нь зvйд нийцэх мэт.
Єєрийн талаас дараах байдлаар хуулиндаа нэмэлт єєрчлєлт оруулж болох.
Нэгд: барууны єндєр хєгжилтэй орны санхvvгийн аль нэг тєвийн хєрєнгийн биржид бvртгэлтэй компанийг Монголд ашигт малтмалын салбарт ажиллуулна.
Хоёрт: Хилийн чанад дахь авилгын эсрэг олон улсын жишиг хуультай оронд бvртгэлтэй байх.
Гуравт: Уурхай ашиглаж дууссаны дараа байгаль орчны цэвэрлэгээ, нєхєн сэргээлтийг хийх нийт зардлыг бvхэлд нь урьчилсан байдлаар санхvvгийн дэнчин тавьж чадах чадвар бvхий компанийг ажиллуулна гээд хуульчилбал болохгvй зvйлгvй мэт санагдана.

УИХ-ын гишvvн Амаржаргал, Батvvл нарын єргєн барьсан бvтээгдэхvvн хуваах гэрээний тухай хуулийн тєсєл ч бас боломжийн хувилбар. Олон улсын жишигт нийцсэн шийдлийн л нэг.

Харин тєрийн оролцоо энэ тэр бол яав чиг эрvvл бус vзэгдэл бєгєєд 1990 оноос хойш олсон эдийн засгийн либеральчлалын хамаг ололтыг vгvйсгэж, улмаар ардчилалд заналхийлсэн аварга том ухралт гэдгээ тєрийнхэн маань эрхбиш ухаарах биз. Юутай ч залуу ардчилагч Лу.Гантємєрийн “Ард тvмний мєнгийг хэмнэе!” гэсэн уриаг дэмжие. Дэмжихийн учир тэр нь зєвхєн дарга даамлын унаа тэргээр зогсчихгvй, элдэв тєрлийн эрсдэлтэй тєрийн ємчийн компанийг татвар тєлєгчийн мєнгєєр байгуулахаас сэргийлэхийг давхар агуулж байгаа гэж ойлгоё. Бизнесийг хувийн хэвшлийнхэн хийг. Харин тєр татвараа авч, хууль журмынхаа хэрэгжилтийг хангаад явахад буруудахгvй мэт. Хийдэг хийдэггээ л хийвэл, бас хийсэн шиг хийвэл ер нь ямар?
Я.Очирсvх
yochir@hotmail.com
ochirsukh.blogspot.com

http://www.zuuniimedee.mn/modules.php?name=News&file=article&sid=5528&catid=2

Ерөнхийлөгч Н.Энхбаяр сөрөг хүчин болохоо зарлалаа


Sunday, October 05 @ 22:49:54 GMT+8

Манай улсын төр засгийн өндөрлөгүүдийн хэлсэн үгийг нийгэм огтхон ч шүүмжлэн хэлэл­цэхгүй юм. Уул нь эрүүл саруул нийгэмд удирдагч­дын­хаа хэлсэн үгийг л муулж сайшаан шуугиж байдаг сан. Энэ нь ч манай удирдагчид нонж дорой үг хэлж байдгаас улбаатай юм болов уу даа. Тэд хэзээ, хаана биелэгдэх нь тодорхойгүй, юу хийх гээд байгаа нь мэдэгдэхгүй үг мөн ч их уншицгаах юм. Харин Ерөн­хийлөгч асан Н.Бага­банди засаглалынхаа сүү­лийн жилүүдэд гүн утга са­наатай үг хэлдэг болсон сон. Түүний хэлсэн үг ард түмний хэлэлцдэг "Үгэн до­тор үг, үхэр дотор гиваан" гэгчээр ямар нэг санаа зорилго агуулсан байдаг. Гэвч төр засгийн удир­дагч­дын хэлсэн зарим үгийг ний­гэмд мэд­рүүлэхгүй байлгах сонирхол улс төрийн бүлгүү­дийн дунд байх нь бий.

2004 оны шинэ жилээр Ерөнхийлөгч асан Н.Бага­бандийн "Энэ жил шинэ сонголтын жил болно" гэсэн үгийг "Өдрийн сонин" тайл­барлан олон түмэнд хүргэж байлаа. Энэ үг нийгэмд гүн гүнзгий хүрч сүүлдээ АН-ын сонгуулийн уриа болж байв. Удирдагчдын оновчтой хэл­сэн үг нийгэмд ингэж нө­лөөлдөг.

Саяын УИХ-ын намрын чуулганы нээлт дээр хэлсэн Монгол Улсын Ерөн­хий­лөг­чийн хэлсэн үг нааштай сонсогдож байна. Ерөн­хий­лөгч хэлэхдээ өнгөрсөн дол­дугаар сарын 1-ний хэрэг явдлын учрыг олох хэрэгтэй хэмээсэн. "Ямар нэг хэрэг явдлаар далимдуулан иргэ­дийг хохироож огтхон ч болохгүй. Хүмүүсийг хохи­роосон хэнбугай ч цээрлэл үзэх ёстой" хэмээн мэдэгдэв. Монгол Улсын Ерөнхийлөгч Н.Энхбаяр УИХ, Засгийн газрын нэрийн өм­нөөс дол­дугаар сарын 1-ний үйл яв­далд ард түмнээсээ уучлал гуйлаа. Өмнө ч гэсэн тэрбээр уучлал хүсэж байсан гэдгээ хэлсэн.

Мөн шинэ Засгийн газрын талаар сөрөг хүчний байр суурь баримтлан ажиллахаа ил тодоор зарлан тун­хаг­лав. Тэрбээр иргэний нийгмийн хяналтыг төр засгийн үйл ажиллагаанд хэрэгжүүлж дарангуйлал тогтох вий гэж болгоомжилсон ард түмний айдсыг үгүй болгох гэнэ. Ерөнхийлөгч энэ талаар хэ­лэхдээ "...нэг үгээр хэлбэл нийгэм дэх иргэний хянал­тыг дэмжиж ажиллана. Ингэж ажиллавал "нийгэмд сөрөг хүчин дутагдана. Хяналтгүй төр засаг тогтоно, ардчилал хумигдана" гэсэн олон түм­ний эргэлзээ арилна" гэж хэлсэн нь үүнийг баталж байна. Мөн Засгийн газрын үйл ажиллагааны талаар сө­рөг хүчний намын даргынх нь хэлж зүрхлээгүй үгийг хэл­эв.

Ерөнхийлөгч энэ талаар "Намууд нэг­дэн стандарт бус шийдэлд хүрснийг нийгэм янз бүрээр хүлээн авч байгаа. Нэг хэсэг нь үүнийг сон­гуулийн луйвар, долдугаар сарын 1-ний буд­лианаас цэ­вэр мултрах гэсэн ээлжит жүжиглэл хэмээн үзэж бай­на. Нөгөө хэсэг нь ингээд хэл үгээ ойлголцоод засаг төр саадгүй байвал боллоо хэ­мээн горьдон харж байна" хэмээн хэлсэн. Энэ нь ард түмнээс сонгогдож гарсан хүний л хэлэх ёстой үг бай­лаа. Ер нь ч үе үеийн Ерөн­хийлөгчид үргэлж ард түм­нийхээ талд үйлчилж ирсэн түүхтэй байдаг. Анх­ны Ерөн­хийлөгч П.Очирбат байна. Тэрбээр МАХН- аас Ардын Их Хурлын дарга, анхны Ерөн­хийлөгчөөр нэр дэвшин сон­гогдож байсан ч 1993 онд Ардчилсан намаас нэр дэв­шин Монгол Улсын Ерөн­хий­лөгч болж байсан түүхтэй. Тэр үед МАХН УИХ-д 70 гаруй суудал авчихсан нийгэм нэг намын даран­гуйлалд орчих­сон үе байлаа. Дараагийн Ерөнхийлөгч Н.Ба­га­банди ч МАХН-аас нэр дэвшин сон­гогдсон Ерөн­хийлөгч. Тэрбээр мөн л нэг нам парламентад хэт олонхи болсон 2000 оноос хойш ард түмнийхээ өмөг түшиг нь байсан. Тэр үед сөрөг хүчин гудамжинд ч байхгүй бол­тлоо доройтсон байлаа. Энэ цаг үед ганц Н.Багабанди Ерөнхийлөгч л ард түмнийхээ төлөө тэр үеийн даран­гуй­лагч Н.Энх­баярыг хазаарлан зогсоосон. Н.Багабанди за­саглалынхаа тав дахь жи­лээс ингэж ажил­лаж байлаа.

Сүүлийн хэдэн жил пар­ламент дахь хүчний харьцаа тэнцүү байхад Ерөнхийлөгч Н.Энхбаярын үзэл бодол сайн мэдэгдэлгүй өнөөдрийг хүр­гэсэн. Харин одоо МАХН сонгуульд ялалт байгуулан, сөрөг намаа өөртөө уусган авч парламентад ганц том бүлэглэл үүсчихээд байна. Ийн­хүү ямар ч хяналтгүй эрх барих хүчин бодитой болсон үед ард түмнээс сонгогдсон Ерөнхийлөгч сөрөг байр суурь­­тай болох шиг олз хаа байх вэ. Одоогийн Ерөн­хий­лөгчийн байр суурь ингэж ард түмний талд болж хувирч байгаа нь эрт юм шиг хараг­даж байна. Энэ нь Ерөнхий сайд С.Баяр­тай харилцах хувийн харил­цаанаас ч улбаатай байж болох юм. Мөн өөрийнх нь ч үзэл бодол ихээхэн нөлөөлдөг биз ээ.

Тэрбээр "Монгол Ул­сын Ерөнхийлөгч байсан хүн ал­баа дуусгаад аль нэг на­мын харьяанд орох гутам­шигтай юм. Тиймээс намын харьяал­лыг болиулах хэрэг­тэй" гэж ярьдаг нь дуулддаг. Гэвч хоёр намын хуйвал­даанд залгиулж дуусах ард түмэнд ийм том институц сөрөг байна гэдэг л хэрэгтэй юм болж байна.

Жамбалын Сандагдорж
http://www.dailynews.mn/modules.php?name=News&file=article&catid=61&sid=19461